Friday, 17 February 2017 05:19

FA Cup preview Saturday

FA Cup

The FA cup 5th round gets under way on Saturday and we take a look at all 5 matches from a betting perspective.

 

Burnley v Lincoln City– click here to bet

Burnley are currently 11th on the English Premier League Log with 29 of their 30 points coming at home and their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw with Chelsea.  They booked their spot in the last 16 of the FA Cup with a 2-0 win over Bristol City in the last round and prior to that they beat Sunderland 2-0 at home after drawing at Sunderland.

Lincoln are currently top of the Vanarama National League 3 points ahead of their nearest rivals and with a game in hand.  They had a 3-2 home victory over the weekend.  They beat Championship side Brighton 3-1 at home in round 4 and also saw off another Championship side Ipswich in the 3rd round winning 1-0 at home after a replay.

For what it is worth, these sides last played in the 1998/1999 season in the League One with both games finishing 1-1.

Betting

Burnley 3/10

Draw 9/2

Lincoln City 17/2

Suggested bet:  Handicap, Burnley (-1) at 8/10.

Burnley are 10 points clear of the relegation zone and can focus on a strong FA Cup run.  Their home record is superb this season and if they put their mind to this they should despatch Lincoln City with something to spare.

Huddersfield v Manchester City – click here to bet

Huddersfield are fighting for promotion to the English Premier League and they currently sit 3rd in the Championship on 61 points, 5 points behind leaders Newcastle United.  They won 3-2 away from home at Rotherham on Tuesday night and in the FA Cup they have been untroubled winning 4-0 at Rochdale in round 4 and 4-0 at home against Port Vale in round 3.

Manchester City are currently 71/20, second favourites to lift the cup – click here for outright betting and they are currently 2nd on the EPL table 8 points behind leaders Chelsea.  Their most recent action was a 2-0 away win at Bournemouth on Monday night and they have also had few problems progressing to the last 16 beating Crystal Palace 3-0 away last time out and West Ham 5-0 away in round 3.

Betting

Huddersfield 6/1

Draw 7/2

Manchester City 9/20

Suggested bet:  Handicap, Manchester City (-1) at 11/10.

Huddersfield may well be distracted by their promotion battle to get back into the English Premier League and as Manchester City have shown in past rounds playing away from home is not an obstacle for them.  I think they will win this by 2 goals or more.

 

 

Millwall v Leicester City– click here to bet

Millwall go in search of their third successive Premier League scalp having beaten Watford and Bournemouth at home in the last 2 rounds.  They are currently occupying the last of the promotion play off places in League One and beat Port Vale 2-0 away from home in midweek.

Leicester are battling in the English Premier League and are currently in 17th spot just 1 point clear of the relegation zone.  Last time out they lost 2-0 away to Swansea.  They have overcome 2 stern tests in the FA Cup to date, beating Everton 2-1 away and then Derby 3-1 after extra time with the first leg having finished 2-2.

Betting

Millwall 18/10

Draw 23/10

Leicester City 31/20

Suggested Bet:  Millwall win at 18/10.

Both sides have other distractions in the League but I fancy Millwall will continue their impressive run against English Premier League teamsand can book their spot in the final 8 against a struggling Leicester side.

 

Middlesbrough v Oxford United– click here to bet

Middlesbrough booked their spot in the FA Cup last 16 with a 1-0 win over lowly Accrington in the last round and previously they saw off Sheffield Wednesday by 3-0, also at home.  They are really battling in the EPL and currently sit in 16th spot just 2 points clear of the relegation zone and their last match was a 0-0 home draw against Everton.

They face Oxford United who sit 11th in League One some way off the promotion play-off race but well clear of relegation.  They were very impressive in seeing off Championship leaders Newcastle United 3-0 at home in the previous round and prior to that beat Rotherham 3-2 away.

Betting

Middlesbrough 5/10

Draw 32/10

Oxford United 11/2

Suggested Bet:  Handicap, Oxford United (+1) at 15/10.

Middlesbrough will have one eye on the relegation battle that they are involved in whilst Oxford United have nothing to lose by having a real go at an FA Cup run and I am backing them to force at least a replay.

Wolves v Chelsea – click here to bet

The late kick-off pits Wolves against English Premier League runaway leaders Chelsea.

Wolves are currently in 18th spot on the Championship and prospects of relegation have been shelved for another year.  They were beaten 1-0 at home by Wigan on Tuesday night but may well have had an eye on this fixture.  They have seen off English Premier League opposition in rounds 3 and 4, first beating Stoke 2-0 away and then Liverpool 2-1 away.

Chelsea are the 7/2 favourites to lift the cup and with an 8 point lead in the English Premier League they can afford to give this fixture a real go.  They were held to a 1-1 draw at Burnley on the weekend but in the Cup so far they have been rampant beating Brentford 4-0 at home and Peterborough 4-1 at home.
Betting

Wolves 15/2

Draw 4/1

Chelsea 7/20

Suggested Bet:  Handicap, draw (Wolves +1) at 28/10.

I suspect that Wolves can give a good account of themselves here but Chelsea should be proved to be too strong.  For this bet to arrive we need Chelsea to win by 1 goal exactly

Note:  prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

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