Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge

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2 weeks 2 days ago #819191 by Bob Brogan
Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge was created by Bob Brogan


GOLD CHALLENGE (Grade 1)
0 Belgarion Justin Snaith 130
0 Catch Twentytwo Paul Peter 123
0 Chimichuri Run Sean Tarry 125
0 Cirillo Sean Tarry 120
0 Jet Dark Justin Snaith 130
0 Lady Of Steel J A Janse van Vuuren 111
0 Rainbow Bridge Eric Sands 134
0 Russian Rock Dean Kannemeyer 119
0 Seeking The Stars Vaughan Marshall 121
0 Sovereign Spirit Candice Bass-Robinson 124
0 Trip To Africa Duncan Howells 114

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2 weeks 2 days ago #819202 by Dave Scott
Dave Scott on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
Hope we run a good race Frodo 🤞😉

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2 weeks 2 days ago #819205 by Frodo

Dave Scott wrote: Hope we run a good race Frodo 🤞😉


I see he is also in the Cup Trial - better trip imo - so let's see where they decide to run; best odds now seem 40/1 - and sure to shorten further if he runs as expected next week B)

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2 weeks 2 days ago #819214 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge

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2 weeks 2 days ago #819218 by Dave Scott
Dave Scott on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
Another interesting situation

Sovereign Spirit

33/1 times 40/1 same horse double less the 33.3% would still get you around 900/1 ish for July.

What do u think Frodo 🤔

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2 weeks 1 day ago #819220 by Frodo

Dave Scott wrote: Another interesting situation

Sovereign Spirit

33/1 times 40/1 same horse double less the 33.3% would still get you around 900/1 ish for July.

What do u think Frodo 🤔


I would advise against it - firstly he may rather take the Cup Trial route, and secondly I don't believe he can beat these at level weights - the July is another matter altogether as he will be receiving weight

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2 weeks 1 day ago #819222 by Dave Scott
Dave Scott on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
You are too sensible for me Frodo, let's take the PLACE double 😉

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1 week 6 days ago #819302 by Thangaveloo
Thangaveloo on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.

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1 week 6 days ago #819303 by Frodo

Thangaveloo wrote: Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.


Azores was one of my roughies even pre-nomination - sadly he ran poorly at Scottsville (same race that Rascallion also ran below form); he may not even run in the Trial as he has drawn very wide, but if he does run and manages to win, he MIGHT get a run in the July imo, but it seems unlikely at this stage

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1 week 6 days ago - 1 week 6 days ago #819304 by Mac

Thangaveloo wrote: Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.


Messing around with numbers... 11 horses will be hoping for the 20th spot... (I assume 20 horses will be carded) ... Your answer at the very most I guess is 9% (1/11). But with recent recent form, etc, considered then 3% (square root of 9%) chance he will make the 20th spot.
Lol
If he wins the Cup Trial and if no one else wins something better then may be 80%. ???


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"Lot 226, 2016 NYS, Diamondveld, R1.5m"
Last edit: 1 week 6 days ago by Mac.

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1 week 6 days ago #819305 by Dave Scott
Dave Scott on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
What price for trial x what price for July = # then take 33.3% from that total and that will give you realistic chance for your question.

Good Punting

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1 week 6 days ago #819306 by Frodo

Dave Scott wrote: What price for trial x what price for July = # then take 33.3% from that total and that will give you realistic chance for your question.

Good Punting


That is to WIN the July .... the question was about making the July field :P

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1 week 6 days ago #819311 by Dave Scott
Dave Scott on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
🤗

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1 week 2 days ago #819527 by Frodo

Dave Scott wrote: You are too sensible for me Frodo, let's take the PLACE double 😉


I see Sovereign Spirit will run in the Challenge - for me it's the wrong call, but Dave you should be happy

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1 week 2 days ago #819529 by bayern
Maybe one way of keeping the MR down

Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy

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1 week 2 days ago #819535 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge


Hollywoodbets GOLD CHALLENGE (Grade 1)FINAL FIELD

1 1 Jet Dark 58.5 130 A Richard Fourie Justin Snaith
2 2 Seeking The Stars 58.5 121 BA Grant van Niekerk Vaughan Marshall
3 3 Rainbow Bridge 60 134 A Luke Ferraris Eric Sands
4 4 Chimichuri Run 60 125 TBA ............... Sean Tarry
5 5 Cirillo 60 120 T A ............... Sean Tarry
6 6 Trip To Africa 60 114 BA *Thabiso Gumede Duncan Howells
7 7 Belgarion 60 130 A S'manga Khumalo Justin Snaith
8 8 Sovereign Spirit 60 124 BA Keagan de Melo Candice Bass-Robinson
9 9 Catch Twentytwo 58.5 123 A Gavin Lerena Paul Peter

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1 week 2 days ago #819536 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge
EAST COAST RADIO TIBOUCHINA STAKES (Grade 2)

1 1 Wylie Wench 60 99 A Chase Maujean M G Azzie/A A Azzie
2 2 Rio's Winter 60 105 T A S'manga Khumalo Stephen Moffatt
3 3 Caya Coco 58.5 102 A Muzi Yeni Glen Kotzen
4 4 Zimbaba 58.5 96 A ............... Sean Tarry
5 5 Wisteria Walk 60 110 T A Craig Zackey Lucky Houdalakis
6 6 Zarina 58.5 107 A Keagan de Melo Candice Bass-Robinson
7 7 Hugs Accepted 58.5 96 A Donovan Dillon Peter Muscutt
8 8 Point Of Sale 60 96 AM Gavin Lerena Glen Kotzen
9 9 Keep The Lights On 58.5 99 A Richard Fourie Justin Snaith
10 10 Freestate Star 58.5 108 A Warren Kennedy Dennis Drier
11 11 Favorita 58.5 101 A Grant van Niekerk Justin Snaith
12 12 Love Bomb 60 108 A Luke Ferraris Frank Robinson
13 13 Mount Laurel 60 109 A Stuart Randolph Wendy Whitehead
14 14 In The Dance 60 99 T A ............... Sean Tarry
15 0 All Of Me 60 93 A Reserve 1 Corne Spies
16 0 Flashy Kaitrina 60 80 BA Reserve 2 Kumaran Naidoo

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1 week 1 day ago #819551 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge


Rainbow Bridge will defend his title in the 50th renewal of the R1 million Gr 1 Hollywoodbets Gold Challenge at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Saturday and will be out to turn the tables on Gr1 L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate winner Jet Dark.

South Africa’s joint second richest race is the final Vodacom Durban July ‘golden ticket’ event and promises to be a thriller with five big race entries lining up.

Although only nine runners are due to face starter Solly Ngcobo, there is plenty of intrigue with runners like Rainbow Bridge and Belgarion warming up for the VDJ against star miler’s whose main target will have been this race.

The Eric Sands-trained Rainbow Bridge could not have been more impressive when winning the Gr2 Drill Hall Stakes over 1400m beating Catch Twentytwo and the pair will face up again come Saturday.

Rainbow Bridge will renew his partnership with jockey Luke Ferraris who has landed a six-month contract to ride in Hong Kong from mid-September.

Jet Dark, the highest rated three-year-old in the country after his defeat of Rainbow Bridge in the Queen’s Plate, has not had an outing since that victory which may be a worry for some. Stable first-call Richard Fourie rides with Grant van Niekerk switching to Seeking The Stars.

Justin Snaith scratched Jet Dark from the original July entry but the colt is sure to be primed come Saturday.
Vaughan Marshall has had a stellar Champions Season to date and will saddle Seeking The Stars who set a solid gallop for stable companion Linebacker in the WSB KZN Guineas. He stayed on well enough for second which will make him a factor on Saturday.

Snaith also saddles last year’s VDJ winner Belgarion who missed his intended warm-up race in the Drill Hall with an abnormal blood picture. He is already assured of a place in the VDJ but this will be a testing warm-up. S’Manga Khumalo rides what will probably be his VDJ mount.

Sovereign Spirit and Cirillo are assured of a July gate while Trip To Africa is 18th on the latest VDJ log and a top showing here will push him further up the table.

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4 days 1 hour ago #819814 by Bob Brogan
Bob Brogan on topic Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge

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1 day 11 hours ago #819959 by Sylvester
New Merit ratings
RB Stays at 134
Catch22 goes from 123 to 126
Chimi stays at 125
Seeking the stars stays 121
Belgarions stays 130
Jet Dark stays 130
Sover spirit down from 123 to 122
cirillo stays 120 ???

Crown towers up from 115 to 117
Tristful up from 112 to 113
Nexus stays 117
Tree Tumbo stays 109
Azores down from 107 to 104
African Night sky down from 107 to 105????

Caya Coco up from 102 to 110
Zimbaba up from 96 to 106
Hugs Accepted up from 96 to 105
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