The Vodacom Durban July Log as at 31 May 2021

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1 week 22 hours ago #819588 by Mac
She’s A Keeper, go my baby. Your heart is bigger than sufferances :-)


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"Lot 226, 2016 NYS, Diamondveld, R1.5m"

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1 week 19 hours ago #819598 by TheBlueME
Lerena on KMDD .... as per CTG comments.

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1 week 9 hours ago #819606 by bayern

TheBlueME wrote: Lerena on KMDD .... as per CTG comments.


Will have to go on a drastic weight loss program to make the riding mass of 53.0kgs in less than a month.

Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy

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1 week 6 hours ago #819614 by Mac
War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


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"Lot 226, 2016 NYS, Diamondveld, R1.5m"

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1 week 3 hours ago #819621 by Frodo

Mac wrote: War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


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14/1 offered by Interbet - looks like she's a goner - why would they not announce to the public and get it over with :unsure:

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1 week 3 hours ago #819622 by Mac

Frodo wrote:

Mac wrote: War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


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14/1 offered by Interbet - looks like she's a goner - why would they not announce to the public and get it over with :unsure:


Ugh...


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1 week 3 hours ago #819623 by Frodo

bayern wrote:

TheBlueME wrote: Lerena on KMDD .... as per CTG comments.


Will have to go on a drastic weight loss program to make the riding mass of 53.0kgs in less than a month.


Maybe Tex Lerena is making a comeback to ride :dry:

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1 week 2 hours ago #819631 by Gazza

Mac wrote:

Frodo wrote:

Mac wrote: War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


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14/1 offered by Interbet - looks like she's a goner - why would they not announce to the public and get it over with :unsure:


Musi must have confirmed his ride on GTGL for July.....which means WOA will go for Garden province G1!!!

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1 week 1 hour ago - 1 week 1 hour ago #819638 by Dave Scott

Gazza wrote:

Mac wrote:

Frodo wrote:

Mac wrote: War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


14/1 offered by Interbet - looks like she's a goner - why would they not announce to the public and get it over with :unsure:


Musi must have confirmed his ride on GTGL for July.....which means WOA will go for Garden province G1!!!


If confirmed;
Very sad the lack of transparency πŸ‘ŽπŸ‘Ž
Does racing no good .

Last edit: 1 week 1 hour ago by Dave Scott.
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1 week 28 minutes ago #819642 by oscar

Dave Scott wrote:

Gazza wrote:

Mac wrote:

Frodo wrote:

Mac wrote: War Of Athena gone out to 11/1 with WSB.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


14/1 offered by Interbet - looks like she's a goner - why would they not announce to the public and get it over with :unsure:


Musi must have confirmed his ride on GTGL for July.....which means WOA will go for Garden province G1!!!


If confirmed;
Very sad the lack of transparency πŸ‘ŽπŸ‘Ž
Does racing no good .


NO GOOD AT ALL!

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5 days 20 hours ago #819702 by Sylvester
Scratched from the Schweppes challenge

Trip To Africa Wrapped right side Tendon

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3 days 7 hours ago - 3 days 7 hours ago #819845 by Sylvester
few more questions post this week end

will snaith run Belgarian run is not 100% ready?
with he supplement crown Towers on Tuesday?
come 21 June will they actually have 20 runners still standing? becoming like a season survivor outwit outlast outplay

after this week end i would only still be betting on 6 horses pre final field being released

DOA
RB
KOMM
GTGL
RASCA
LINEB

the rest u can make an excuse not run them.
Last edit: 3 days 7 hours ago by Sylvester.

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3 days 6 hours ago #819849 by Thangaveloo
Morning guys. Trust you all are well. Just a pointer for those wanting to back Rainbow Bridge for the July. Many a times we had seen senior jockeys win this premier race. I have noticed that Luke Ferraris aged 19 has been booked on Rainbow Bridge for the July.

I might be too young for this game or can anybody name other 19yo jocks that was victorious in the July.

No disrespect to this young guy but if he does win then this is a mugs game!

All the best Luke for Hong Kong✌

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3 days 4 hours ago - 3 days 4 hours ago #819856 by Frodo
So there won't be many more clues forthcoming - apart from the Final Supps on Tuesday, the weights (which the Handicapper may still adjust after the Gold Challenge and the Cup Trial yesterday - although I doubt it will have much influence) and then the riding arrangements to be finalised next week. The one curve ball that could throw a spanner into the works would be if the connections decide to give Catch Twenty-Two a chance after his excellent 2nd yesterday :unsure:

What do we know as it stands - as PeterD alluded to in another thread, on the face of it, the 3 3yr olds Linebacker, Kommetdieding and Rascallion seem very much alive, taking into account the run of Seeking the Stars in the Challenge. If one does accept that War of Athena won't run , the other obvious one for the first 4 is Got the Greenlight. And based on the form shown to date, I also highly doubt that Rainbow Bridge can give them 7 kgs and a beating. Another interesting rumor that is surfacing, is that Gav Lerena may be riding Kommetdieding - and he has been riding at 55.5 at the Vaal this past week - still some way to go to get to 53 kgs - and I doubt they would want him to ride at much more that 0,5 kgs overweight :unsure:

However ....... I think the last 200m will be the telling factor - none of the 3 yr olds (bar WoA who may not take her place) have actually gone the trip; for me the most likely one that may prefer the extra 200m (based on the Daily News) is Rascallion - but that's not a sure fact either.

So who definitely stays - and I see that Crown Towers is now back among the noms - which probably means that he could be sacrificed as the pace setter :unsure:, so chances are that the pace will be on; of the fancied runners I can find only Belgarion and Do It Again, and looking at the longer shots, Sovereign Spirit, Tristful (July Campanajo last year) and maybe Matterhorn. Of these I have previously labelled Sovereign Spirit as value at the odds, and although I would have preferred him to run a length or so closer yesterday, there still should not be much between him and Rainbow Bridge at the weights (SS will get 5 kgs from RB) - the problem is that I think RB will struggle to give that much weight away to the 3 yr olds and Got the Greenlight and also there is that slight doubt about RB getting that last 200m (even taking into account that he was too close to a fast pace last year) - also there is a huge swing at the weights between SS and Tristful (again based on the Campanajo last year) - so best roughie for the top 6 could now be Tristful

So taking all of the above into account, I still think GtG is a worthy favorite, but Do It Again and perhaps Belgarion will challenge him all the way over the last 200; Rascallion of the 3 yr olds may be the best suited to the trip and at current odds definitely much better value than Linebacker; Tristful and Sovereign Spirit to finish in the top 6

That's my take anyway :dry:
Last edit: 3 days 4 hours ago by Frodo.
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2 days 9 hours ago #819889 by bayern

Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy
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2 days 6 hours ago #819896 by Frodo
Very nice interview with Gav - let's face it, these guys from Clocking the Gallop put up some great discussions - and interesting about Kommetdieding - never thought Gav would be riding at 53 :huh:

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2 days 3 hours ago #819916 by monty
Garth Puller did it and he had to lose 6 kgs for Bush Telegraph if I am not mistaken so I am sure Gavin can do it.

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2 days 2 hours ago #819921 by ElvisisKing

monty wrote: Garth Puller did it and he had to lose 6 kgs for Bush Telegraph if I am not mistaken so I am sure Gavin can do it.


If memory serves me well i think Garth was on some sort of BROWN RICE diet..... perhaps someone else can confirm.....Garth needs to pass this on to Gav. :P

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2 days 2 hours ago #819922 by Sylvester
puller >>> 53kg down to 49kg

monty wrote: Garth Puller did it and he had to lose 6 kgs for Bush Telegraph if I am not mistaken so I am sure Gavin can do it.

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2 days 2 hours ago #819924 by mr hawaii

ElvisisKing wrote:

monty wrote: Garth Puller did it and he had to lose 6 kgs for Bush Telegraph if I am not mistaken so I am sure Gavin can do it.


If memory serves me well i think Garth was on some sort of BROWN RICE diet..... perhaps someone else can confirm.....Garth needs to pass this on to Gav. :P


stewed fruit and brown rice - probably spent more time sitting on the loo than riding work during that weight shed

THE MORE YOU STUDY FORM THE LUCKIER YOU GET

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