Happy Valley 13 October 2020

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Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799101
I have cut my punting down to around three race meetings a week from every day ...... but I love Hong Kong racing and I love having a tenner on the Jockey Challenge. I made a spreadsheet and I allocate points based on selections on the Hong Kong racing website to try and understand who has the best chance to take the honours.

Jockey Total
Joao Moreira 73
Jerry Chau 42
Kerris Teetan 41
Zac Purton 41
Vincent Ho 38
Derek Leung 24
Antoine Hamelin 19
Chad Schofield 19
Alex Badel 16

At 2/1 on Hollywoodbets ... Joao Moreira looks gr8 value, with the only minor concern being he definitely has a better strike rate at ShaTin. 18.5% vs 24.5%.

A speculative Canadian on Jerry Chau's rides may pay dividends at odds of 9/2, 8/1, 9/2, 8/1 and 4/1

Break a leg !!
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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799105
Magi wrote: I have cut my punting down to around three race meetings a week from every day ...... but I love Hong Kong racing and I love having a tenner on the Jockey Challenge. I made a spreadsheet and I allocate points based on selections on the Hong Kong racing website to try and understand who has the best chance to take the honours.

Jockey Total
Joao Moreira 73
Jerry Chau 42
Kerris Teetan 41
Zac Purton 41
Vincent Ho 38
Derek Leung 24
Antoine Hamelin 19
Chad Schofield 19
Alex Badel 16

At 2/1 on Hollywoodbets ... Joao Moreira looks gr8 value, with the only minor concern being he definitely has a better strike rate at ShaTin. 18.5% vs 24.5%.

A speculative Canadian on Jerry Chau's rides may pay dividends at odds of 9/2, 8/1, 9/2, 8/1 and 4/1

Break a leg !!

Chau can even win the jockey challenge, still to check the odds but worth a punt

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799109
Happy Valley Canadian
Race 2 Sumstreetssomewhere 5/1
Race 3 Supreme Plus 16/1
Race 5 Hercules 15/10
Race 6 Xponential 20/1
Race 8 Flying Quest 15/1

Happy Valley BIPOT
6.7
2
8.10
4
1
8.11.12

Happy Valley Jackpot
1
8.11.12
1.2.4.8.9.10
2.12
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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799114
@eramutsamaya .... you dont play P/A's???? I hate bipots.

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799116
Magi wrote: @eramutsamaya .... you dont play P/A's???? I hate bipots.
I rarely bet PAs..but if im doing i go straight line or very very short. But todays HV last 2 legs has got me cold feet lol. Very tricky like Race 1. Gotta throw on dart board.

Here is my PA for HV
2
10
4
1
8.11.12
2.8.9.10
2.12
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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799121
Derek Leung strong in the finish ..... and as he has 8 rides today I went with him as my jockey Challenge selection

14-Oct-2020 12:25 2083002424813126 Gauteng Internet Initial Stake Win 6. K C LEUNG (14 OCT)

Good start ... especially with Moreira out the points

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799124
Magi wrote: Derek Leung strong in the finish ..... and as he has 8 rides today I went with him as my jockey Challenge selection

14-Oct-2020 12:25 2083002424813126 Gauteng Internet Initial Stake Win 6. K C LEUNG (14 OCT)

Good start ... especially with Moreira out the points
Moreira has poor rides thruout. Cant see him placing any race let alone win. Bookies knew with the genorosity on jockey challenge odds.

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799131
Already have my stake back ....

1 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 2 2020-10-14 13:45 2. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE M/Win 4.55 Complete
2 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 3 2020-10-14 14:15 3. BULLISH BROTHER M/Place-3 2.30 Complete
3 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 4 2020-10-14 14:45 1. SIMPLY FLUKE M/Win 4.00 Pending
4 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 5 2020-10-14 15:15 7. SPRINT FORWARD M/Place-3 2.00 Pending
5 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 8 2020-10-14 16:50 2. BUDDIES M/Win 3.57

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799134
Magi wrote: Already have my stake back ....

1 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 2 2020-10-14 13:45 2. SUMSTREETSUMWHERE M/Win 4.55 Complete
2 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 3 2020-10-14 14:15 3. BULLISH BROTHER M/Place-3 2.30 Complete
3 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 4 2020-10-14 14:45 1. SIMPLY FLUKE M/Win 4.00 Pending
4 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 5 2020-10-14 15:15 7. SPRINT FORWARD M/Place-3 2.00 Pending
5 Horse Racing Hong Kong HAPPY VALLEY RACE 8 2020-10-14 16:50 2. BUDDIES M/Win 3.57

Well done! Talking of eating the whole cow you should have gone for win on Bullish Brother. Close home now.
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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799135
put R160/10 ...

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799139
Zac you beaut.
8-10 out the money,the only surprise is that he didn't run 4th.

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Re: Happy Valley 13 October 2020

3 years 5 months ago
#799149
I hope Jerry wont let Magic Man take the Jockey challenge.

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