Turffontein 19 April 2014

my place bet today IWO JIMA - super strong formgrids and i think trip will suite

even too hard for de Greatest,be back to make the kzn graft boys cry

Looker in the 1st

gregbucks Wrote:

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> Dover Beach eway....

Agree with Pirho, this looks a very tricky card and probably will prove a bit of a punter's graveyard.

Also think DB has a chance bud and worth a small e/w, my preference though is for Penny Fare, good draw and c/d record... given draws, tracks etc and up n down form of stable in recent months, form possibly better than it appears at first glance.

E/W Patent... Confabulate, Fortitude, Jonovich
Semi-idiots e/w patent... Sweetwater, Moggytwoshoes, Penny Fare
Idiots e/w Patent... Play Play, Matthew Ethan, Dover Beach

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Race 5 no 8 Anita
Race 8 no 3 Sweetwater
Both e/way but not a easy card

mr hawaii Wrote:

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> my place bet today IWO JIMA - super strong
> formgrids and i think trip will suite


I think that race could produce an upset - agree with IJ must be in with a chance - but I prefer Brize Norton - finished less than 7 lengths behind Super Glue (and the blinkers could improve him), while IJ finished 8 lengths behind that one.

All in all not easy - some thoughts:

R3: Echuka much too short in the betting imo - would rather go for a place on Latino Ice - but difficult to see E missing the PA

R4: Play-Play has been improving and with Three Quarter could provide value from nice draws - touch short for Boy Boy imo, but Ultimate Tiger could be the right one if he can put his poor effort under the lights behind him

R5: Weak maiden fillies - Anita is improving and looks value on collateral form behind Brainstorm

R6: Competitive fillies and mares handicap - top 2 for me are Fortitude and Mystic Tigress - both have done well this trip; Bravo Mayo not without a chance if seeing out the trip - Erin has lots to find here imo

R7: Bit of a nightmare - first choice for me Augustinus, followed by Master Rivas, Jonovich and Don Vito; Caribbean Coast swaps cheek pieces for blinkers, so who knows, while Matthew Ethan (tries pacifiers after a poor last effort) and Beowulf (stamina doubts) could upset

R8: Not getting any easier - Shayna improving after a rest and has a nice draw, so is my first choice, plenty of others with chances - Sweetwater, Ice Goddess, Lady Justice, Ninivah, Tell My Star and Mary's Jet - for a real roughie I'm including Classy Looker from pole position

R9: Lots of money for Santa Carolina - ran a few points above her rating in the Fillies Classic and tries blinkers (probably in an effort to get her in the race earlier) - for me the trip could be a problem and I'd be looking to beat her; Queen Eliza comes from an in-form stable, is suited to this trip and has nice draw - good each-way value imo - not much between Pachal Moon and Moggytwoshoes who should feature in the quartet - lots of money as well for Whatalady - has to improve more imo, but obviously can't be ignored

Enjoy (tu)

Nice winning bets:
Race 1: Carole bouque
Race 3: Ecuka
Race 4: Ultimate Tiger
Race 5: Live Action
Race 7: Don Vito
Race 9: Santa Clarita - should destroy this field back in merited race. Last run two lenghts behind Athina tols us that!!!!

Cheers Frodo, good to see a few idiots are at least mentioned as squeaks ( (tu)

Agree Frodo,regarding Brize Norton..
Needs to settle better and can see it placing,I had a mall nibble last time and it ran better than it's finishing position.

thanks Frodo...(tu)
I also like the Ultimate Tiger and Shayna double...but not with much confidence....
Prices too short for the value....IMO

Great write up frodo

African Gshawk from a cracking draw and let to roll,penalty shoot score