Turffontein, Saturday 17 April

Frodo wrote: Interesting day's racing, where the low payouts on Triple Crown Day (2 weeks ago) may be challenged if all the fancied horses arrive - for me it does look possible, but I will cover as well in a few races - thoughts:

R1: Money has now poured on Smorgasbord, who is an entrant to the Nursery in 2 weeks time; Barney's Pride I think may be 'false' support - I don't believe it is expected to win over a sprint; Smorgasbord by Twice Over out of a Var mare, so who knows; Star Aglow gets the fillies' allowance, so may challenge as well; Partner in Crime fair 2nd run, but drawn on the inside; Integrate could be the joker in the pack - drawn on the stand side, interesting riding arrangement - and the comment in the Computaform (each way chance) belies the odds

R2: First timer Desert Miracle also entered for the Fillies Nursery in 2 weeks time, so could be good enough; Quest from Afar all the rage, but would need to jump better - for me a bit short in the market, but obvious chance; Woman of Substance could improve

R3: Lazy Guy has the form, but I don't think the inside draw will help; Katzenthal the other form runner, but the form not that great imo; juvenile Blizzard Ahead may be good enough to feature as well; I think Imitation Game could be the roughie to feature - drawn on the stand side and could improve over the shorter trip; Sonny Quinn always thereabouts, so place chance again, while Khumalo is on Parker Getrix, who could improve

R4: Not a great field, so the supported Good Queen Bess will probably romp in; danger for me could be Verinova - tries blinkers and did not finish too far behind Sweet Future and Florentine; Dragon Queen improved last time, but that was not a great field and I would be surprised to see her win if GQB has any potential

R5: Interesting in that the Peter stable has 4 runners, but Kennedy is not on one of them ; the dogs are barking about Kwite a Trip, so obviously has a chance; for me I think Donny G (although an 8 yr old) is coming back to form and will go close - on a run behind BattleofTrafalgar last year, DG is 10 kgs better off with Isphan and finished in front of Isphan - so that tells me that Donny G is very well in here; the other Peter runners can't be ignored

R6: Tough handicap to predict; again the Peter stable has 3 runners, but Kennedy not on one of them; I'm just going Field - in the PA and BP I'm including all of Bold Ransom, Valerian King, Oravar and Garden Party

R7: Summer Pudding's race to lose; Kelpie probably 2nd best, while I think that Wisteria Walk can place.

R8: Another closely matched handicap; the value at current odds is the course & distance specialist Zouaves; Mill Queen dropping steadily in the ratings, and has 2 wins over this track and trip; not a lot between Approach Control, Putontheredlight and Zouaves, so have chances as well, while Rock the Globe looks well in here and with Down to Zero can't be ignored

R9: Say When hard to beat - if she does fail, it is open - all of Bella Rosa, Bebop, Mamaquera and So They Say have the form to feature, while as per Mr H, Future Lady ran above her rating last time and could feature despite a wide draw

My P6 (at least 5 legs to be won by the 'first choice')

9 / 2,3,4
5,7 / 1,2,4,6
1,3,5,9 / 2,4,6,7,8,10
1 / 2,3,4,5,8
1,3,5,6,7,10 / 2,4,8,9
2 / 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,10

Enjoy

Sammy Silver wrote:

Frodo wrote: Interesting day's racing, where the low payouts on Triple Crown Day (2 weeks ago) may be challenged if all the fancied horses arrive - for me it does look possible, but I will cover as well in a few races - thoughts:

R1: Money has now poured on Smorgasbord, who is an entrant to the Nursery in 2 weeks time; Barney's Pride I think may be 'false' support - I don't believe it is expected to win over a sprint; Smorgasbord by Twice Over out of a Var mare, so who knows; Star Aglow gets the fillies' allowance, so may challenge as well; Partner in Crime fair 2nd run, but drawn on the inside; Integrate could be the joker in the pack - drawn on the stand side, interesting riding arrangement - and the comment in the Computaform (each way chance) belies the odds

R2: First timer Desert Miracle also entered for the Fillies Nursery in 2 weeks time, so could be good enough; Quest from Afar all the rage, but would need to jump better - for me a bit short in the market, but obvious chance; Woman of Substance could improve

R3: Lazy Guy has the form, but I don't think the inside draw will help; Katzenthal the other form runner, but the form not that great imo; juvenile Blizzard Ahead may be good enough to feature as well; I think Imitation Game could be the roughie to feature - drawn on the stand side and could improve over the shorter trip; Sonny Quinn always thereabouts, so place chance again, while Khumalo is on Parker Getrix, who could improve

R4: Not a great field, so the supported Good Queen Bess will probably romp in; danger for me could be Verinova - tries blinkers and did not finish too far behind Sweet Future and Florentine; Dragon Queen improved last time, but that was not a great field and I would be surprised to see her win if GQB has any potential

R5: Interesting in that the Peter stable has 4 runners, but Kennedy is not on one of them ; the dogs are barking about Kwite a Trip, so obviously has a chance; for me I think Donny G (although an 8 yr old) is coming back to form and will go close - on a run behind BattleofTrafalgar last year, DG is 10 kgs better off with Isphan and finished in front of Isphan - so that tells me that Donny G is very well in here; the other Peter runners can't be ignored

R6: Tough handicap to predict; again the Peter stable has 3 runners, but Kennedy not on one of them; I'm just going Field - in the PA and BP I'm including all of Bold Ransom, Valerian King, Oravar and Garden Party

R7: Summer Pudding's race to lose; Kelpie probably 2nd best, while I think that Wisteria Walk can place.

R8: Another closely matched handicap; the value at current odds is the course & distance specialist Zouaves; Mill Queen dropping steadily in the ratings, and has 2 wins over this track and trip; not a lot between Approach Control, Putontheredlight and Zouaves, so have chances as well, while Rock the Globe looks well in here and with Down to Zero can't be ignored

R9: Say When hard to beat - if she does fail, it is open - all of Bella Rosa, Bebop, Mamaquera and So They Say have the form to feature, while as per Mr H, Future Lady ran above her rating last time and could feature despite a wide draw

My P6 (at least 5 legs to be won by the 'first choice')

9 / 2,3,4
5,7 / 1,2,4,6
1,3,5,9 / 2,4,6,7,8,10
1 / 2,3,4,5,8
1,3,5,6,7,10 / 2,4,8,9
2 / 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,10

Enjoy

Great tipping. I hope you standing in all bets!!

Haupie wrote: How can Judy say the inside draw is a bad draw. also that the last few races have shown the going is better on the outside? 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the previous race were draws 1,2,3.

Unbelievable

I'm going Bold Ransom from Mardi Gras from Valiryan King from Garden Party

Have fun

Dave Scott wrote: Well after listening to the Weighted to Win show

KWITE A TRIP and SAY WHEN could also be bankers.