"Group" RESULTS - 'Afternoon' Tuesday 19th February Workings...
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"Group" RESULTS - 'Afternoon' Tuesday 19th February Workings...
17 years 3 months ago
Afternoon.
This afternoon completed and went as follows........
The 1st runner we wanted 2.4, and with getting around 2.34/36 on arrival, we had a lay at 2.36 max. The lay didn't really settle early, bet swept into the lead off the home bend, and although the eventual second looked the winner, he refused to go on and win, so the lay won it! and the way it goes. Traders easily got their trade back prices in running, so got away with it......
The 2nd runner we wanted 1.3, and with a non runner and 4.2% reduction, we now wanted a lay price of 1.29. The price was around 1.43 on arrival and never came down to us at any stage at all, so a race to avoid for all. The runner had to work very hard, but I feel was being a bit lazy on the front, but got the win and so a good leave........
The 3rd runner we wanted 1.7, and with being around 1.82 on arrival and not coming down to our lay price at any stage at all, it was a race to avoid for all. The runner had to work very hard, but got the win and so another good leave.........
The 4th runner we wanted 2.4, but a non runner and 3.1% reduction meant we now wanted a lay price of 2.36. The price was a well supported 2.1 on arrival and so we had a lay at 2.1. The price then went for a walk the other way, and out to our own price of 2.66 (was 2.7 before reductions) and beyond, so a chance for traders and builders to have a 'free' lay. The lay/trade went and won a photo finish by a gnats genitalia, so very frustrating, but the way it goes and glad of the 'free' lay now........
The 5th runner was a non runner due to the late abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next....
The 6th runner we wanted 2.8, but a non runner and 4.2% reduction meant we now wanted a lay price of 2.72. The price had drifted to around 2.76 on arrival and then dropped back down to us and beyond, so we had a lay at 2.72 max. The price then went for a walk out to our own price of 3.02 (3.0 nearest exchange price - was 3.1 before reductions) and beyond, so another chance for traders and builders to have a 'free' lay. The lay/trade ran a poor race and was subsequently well beaten, so a good result.........
The 7th runner we wanted 2.2, and with drifting to around 2.3 on arrival and then dropping down to us and beyond, we had a lay at 2.2 max. The lay went storming off into a big lead, and that was that! none could get into it, so again frustrating, but the way it goes as yet another favourite goes and wins..........
The 8th runner we wanted 1.7, and with being around 1.81 on arrival and then dropping down to us, we had a lay at 1.7. The lay went and won without too much fuss, so the way it goes..............
The 9th runner was a non runner due to the abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next...
The 10th runner we wanted 2.32, and with being around 2.5 on arrival and just getting bigger, we never see our lay price at any stage, so all had to avoid the race. The runner went and won, so a nice priced winner, but more importantly a good leave............
The 11th runner we wanted 2.7, and with being around 3.05 on arrival and not coming down to our lay price at any stage at all, we all had to avoid another race. The runner lost out by a gnats genitalia after a very close photo finish, so heart attack saved, but one that got away in hindsight..........
The 12th runner was a non runner due to the abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next......
The 13th runner we wanted 2.7, and with being around 2.46 on arrival, we had a lay at around 2.46. The lay won as if 20lb well in, so very annoying as yet another favourite goes and wins.! Traders did get their trade back prices and so they got away with it..........
The 14th and final runner we wanted 2.32, and with being a well supported 2.1 on arrival, we had a lay at 2.1. The lay went and won by half the track, so the way it goes yet again today!!!
WELL BATTLED.. but it was nigh on impossible today, and we just have to accept it as 'one of those days'...............(4 from the first 4 (100%) went and won - 7 from the first 8 (87.5%) went and won - and 9 from the 11 (3 nr's) in total (82%), and so nigh on impossible to make any money!)
'Rolling' strategists (no 'free' lays for them) had to concede 4 targets..................They started on the 1st runner and then with winner after winner, and not being able to avoid them all, they ended conceding 4 targets on their 5th lay (the 8th runner), so no chance at all today to be honest........
Strategy/target players (bank builders) had their 1st lay (the 1st runner) at 2.36 max, and a poor result see them go behind early.........They then had a 'free' lay (the 4th runner) that only bought relief..............Then came another 'free' lay (the 6th runner) that bought a tiny profit............Then came their 2nd lay (the 7th runner) at 2.2, but a poor result see them go further behind...........They then had their 3rd lay (the 8th runner) at 1.7, but another poor result see them go further behind........and 4 runner builders had to concede 4 targets..
5 runner builders went to their last lay (the 14th runner) at 2.1, and yet another winner see them concede 4 targets too...
4 runner strategy (bank builders) £400 bank. Max 25% target £100
1st lay £100 to win as much of the £100 target @ 2.36. Result negative. Lose £100
Total bank now £300
'Free' lay bought no free profit, only relief.
Total bank remains £300
'Free' lay bought average/minimum profit £10
Total bank now £310
2nd lay £103 to recoup as much of the £90 @ 2.2. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £207
3rd lay £103 to recoup as much of the £193 @ 1.7. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £103
4th lay £103 to recoup as much of the £297 @ 2.46. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £0
Overall result. Concede 4 targets.
************************************
5 runner strategy (bank builders) £400 bank. Max 25% target £100
1st lay £80 to win as much of the £100 target @ 2.36 max. Result negative. Lose £80
Total bank now £320
'Free' lay bought no free profit, only relief.
Total bank remains £320
'Free' lay bought average/minimum profit £8
Total bank now £328
2nd lay £82 to recoup as much of the £72 @ 2.2. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £246
3rd lay £82 to recoup as much of the £154 @ 1.7. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £164
4th lay £82 to recoup as much of the £236 @ 2.46. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £82
5th lay £82 to recoup as much of the £318 @ 2.1. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £0
Overall result. Concede 4 targets.
************************************
Traders had to concede a little on the 7th runner at 2.2 max, the the 8th runner at 1.7 max, and the 14th runner at 2.1 max, and all others see them win a bit or break level, so all in all they lose a bit and not surprised with all those winners...
So one the, if not 'the' toughest day of the year (last few years) thus far, and nothing we could do about it. One of those things and best just take it on the chin and look ahead to tomorrow.
Marc.
**************************************************
Morning.
There's still inspections to come, so maybe we'll lose a meeting or two, but we cannot wait around forever and so with being happy with the ground states 'if' they go ahead, and with pricing the races up, we'll just hope they get the go-ahead.
The races, runners, and prices, to work around for this afternoon then, as follows.........
2.10 Southwell. KARMEST (2.34)
Our price 17/10 (2.7) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.4 or under.
2.20 Taunton. FOREST PENNANT (1.44)
Our price 1/2 (1.5) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.3 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
2.40 Southwell. MAC DALIA (1.86)
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *Traders please note that he 'may' pull his way to the lead in this contest, or may even settle and race very prominent*
2.50 Taunton. CHANTACO (2.58)
Our price 17/10 (2.7) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.4 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *More emphasis has gone on the market for clues, for this race*
3.00 Sedgefield. KALAHARI KING (2.1)
Our price 7/5 (2.4) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.1 or under.
3.10 Southwell. MAGIC AMOUR (2.76)
Our price 21/10 (3.1) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.8 or under.
3.20 Taunton. FABULOUS JET (2.36)
Our price 6/4 (2.5) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.2 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *Traders please note that this one has a tendency to lead, or race very prominent*
3.40 Southwell. THEBES (1.
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.00 Sedgefield. SUPER BABY (3.0)
Our price 21/10 (3.1) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.8 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.10 Southwell. THEY ALL LAUGHED (2.48)
Our price 13/8 (2.625) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.32 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.20 Taunton. WOOLCOMBE FOLLY (3.15)
Our price 2/1 (3.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.30 Sedgefield. MINOUCHKA (1.81)
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.40 Southwell. SILVER HOTSPUR (2.66)
Our price 2/1 (3.0) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.7 or under.
5.10 Southwell. LITTLE WING (2.24)
Our price 13/8 (2.625) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.32 or under.
All races priced up with non runners taken into account, up until 10:12am.
That's what we have to work around for this afternoon then. Let's hope all the meetings go ahead, but if not, we should still have enough to work around. Discipline to the maximum and take advantage of any prices that come our way. Good luck and speak soon...
Marc.
This afternoon completed and went as follows........
The 1st runner we wanted 2.4, and with getting around 2.34/36 on arrival, we had a lay at 2.36 max. The lay didn't really settle early, bet swept into the lead off the home bend, and although the eventual second looked the winner, he refused to go on and win, so the lay won it! and the way it goes. Traders easily got their trade back prices in running, so got away with it......
The 2nd runner we wanted 1.3, and with a non runner and 4.2% reduction, we now wanted a lay price of 1.29. The price was around 1.43 on arrival and never came down to us at any stage at all, so a race to avoid for all. The runner had to work very hard, but I feel was being a bit lazy on the front, but got the win and so a good leave........
The 3rd runner we wanted 1.7, and with being around 1.82 on arrival and not coming down to our lay price at any stage at all, it was a race to avoid for all. The runner had to work very hard, but got the win and so another good leave.........
The 4th runner we wanted 2.4, but a non runner and 3.1% reduction meant we now wanted a lay price of 2.36. The price was a well supported 2.1 on arrival and so we had a lay at 2.1. The price then went for a walk the other way, and out to our own price of 2.66 (was 2.7 before reductions) and beyond, so a chance for traders and builders to have a 'free' lay. The lay/trade went and won a photo finish by a gnats genitalia, so very frustrating, but the way it goes and glad of the 'free' lay now........
The 5th runner was a non runner due to the late abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next....
The 6th runner we wanted 2.8, but a non runner and 4.2% reduction meant we now wanted a lay price of 2.72. The price had drifted to around 2.76 on arrival and then dropped back down to us and beyond, so we had a lay at 2.72 max. The price then went for a walk out to our own price of 3.02 (3.0 nearest exchange price - was 3.1 before reductions) and beyond, so another chance for traders and builders to have a 'free' lay. The lay/trade ran a poor race and was subsequently well beaten, so a good result.........
The 7th runner we wanted 2.2, and with drifting to around 2.3 on arrival and then dropping down to us and beyond, we had a lay at 2.2 max. The lay went storming off into a big lead, and that was that! none could get into it, so again frustrating, but the way it goes as yet another favourite goes and wins..........
The 8th runner we wanted 1.7, and with being around 1.81 on arrival and then dropping down to us, we had a lay at 1.7. The lay went and won without too much fuss, so the way it goes..............
The 9th runner was a non runner due to the abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next...
The 10th runner we wanted 2.32, and with being around 2.5 on arrival and just getting bigger, we never see our lay price at any stage, so all had to avoid the race. The runner went and won, so a nice priced winner, but more importantly a good leave............
The 11th runner we wanted 2.7, and with being around 3.05 on arrival and not coming down to our lay price at any stage at all, we all had to avoid another race. The runner lost out by a gnats genitalia after a very close photo finish, so heart attack saved, but one that got away in hindsight..........
The 12th runner was a non runner due to the abandonment of Sedgefield, so on to the next......
The 13th runner we wanted 2.7, and with being around 2.46 on arrival, we had a lay at around 2.46. The lay won as if 20lb well in, so very annoying as yet another favourite goes and wins.! Traders did get their trade back prices and so they got away with it..........
The 14th and final runner we wanted 2.32, and with being a well supported 2.1 on arrival, we had a lay at 2.1. The lay went and won by half the track, so the way it goes yet again today!!!
WELL BATTLED.. but it was nigh on impossible today, and we just have to accept it as 'one of those days'...............(4 from the first 4 (100%) went and won - 7 from the first 8 (87.5%) went and won - and 9 from the 11 (3 nr's) in total (82%), and so nigh on impossible to make any money!)
'Rolling' strategists (no 'free' lays for them) had to concede 4 targets..................They started on the 1st runner and then with winner after winner, and not being able to avoid them all, they ended conceding 4 targets on their 5th lay (the 8th runner), so no chance at all today to be honest........
Strategy/target players (bank builders) had their 1st lay (the 1st runner) at 2.36 max, and a poor result see them go behind early.........They then had a 'free' lay (the 4th runner) that only bought relief..............Then came another 'free' lay (the 6th runner) that bought a tiny profit............Then came their 2nd lay (the 7th runner) at 2.2, but a poor result see them go further behind...........They then had their 3rd lay (the 8th runner) at 1.7, but another poor result see them go further behind........and 4 runner builders had to concede 4 targets..
5 runner builders went to their last lay (the 14th runner) at 2.1, and yet another winner see them concede 4 targets too...
4 runner strategy (bank builders) £400 bank. Max 25% target £100
1st lay £100 to win as much of the £100 target @ 2.36. Result negative. Lose £100
Total bank now £300
'Free' lay bought no free profit, only relief.
Total bank remains £300
'Free' lay bought average/minimum profit £10
Total bank now £310
2nd lay £103 to recoup as much of the £90 @ 2.2. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £207
3rd lay £103 to recoup as much of the £193 @ 1.7. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £103
4th lay £103 to recoup as much of the £297 @ 2.46. Result negative. Lose £103
Total bank now £0
Overall result. Concede 4 targets.
************************************
5 runner strategy (bank builders) £400 bank. Max 25% target £100
1st lay £80 to win as much of the £100 target @ 2.36 max. Result negative. Lose £80
Total bank now £320
'Free' lay bought no free profit, only relief.
Total bank remains £320
'Free' lay bought average/minimum profit £8
Total bank now £328
2nd lay £82 to recoup as much of the £72 @ 2.2. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £246
3rd lay £82 to recoup as much of the £154 @ 1.7. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £164
4th lay £82 to recoup as much of the £236 @ 2.46. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £82
5th lay £82 to recoup as much of the £318 @ 2.1. Result negative. Lose £82
Total bank now £0
Overall result. Concede 4 targets.
************************************
Traders had to concede a little on the 7th runner at 2.2 max, the the 8th runner at 1.7 max, and the 14th runner at 2.1 max, and all others see them win a bit or break level, so all in all they lose a bit and not surprised with all those winners...
So one the, if not 'the' toughest day of the year (last few years) thus far, and nothing we could do about it. One of those things and best just take it on the chin and look ahead to tomorrow.
Marc.
**************************************************
Morning.
There's still inspections to come, so maybe we'll lose a meeting or two, but we cannot wait around forever and so with being happy with the ground states 'if' they go ahead, and with pricing the races up, we'll just hope they get the go-ahead.
The races, runners, and prices, to work around for this afternoon then, as follows.........
2.10 Southwell. KARMEST (2.34)
Our price 17/10 (2.7) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.4 or under.
2.20 Taunton. FOREST PENNANT (1.44)
Our price 1/2 (1.5) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.3 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
2.40 Southwell. MAC DALIA (1.86)
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *Traders please note that he 'may' pull his way to the lead in this contest, or may even settle and race very prominent*
2.50 Taunton. CHANTACO (2.58)
Our price 17/10 (2.7) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.4 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *More emphasis has gone on the market for clues, for this race*
3.00 Sedgefield. KALAHARI KING (2.1)
Our price 7/5 (2.4) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.1 or under.
3.10 Southwell. MAGIC AMOUR (2.76)
Our price 21/10 (3.1) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.8 or under.
3.20 Taunton. FABULOUS JET (2.36)
Our price 6/4 (2.5) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.2 or under, we'll go in for a lay. *Traders please note that this one has a tendency to lead, or race very prominent*
3.40 Southwell. THEBES (1.
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.00 Sedgefield. SUPER BABY (3.0)
Our price 21/10 (3.1) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.8 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.10 Southwell. THEY ALL LAUGHED (2.48)
Our price 13/8 (2.625) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.32 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.20 Taunton. WOOLCOMBE FOLLY (3.15)
Our price 2/1 (3.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.30 Sedgefield. MINOUCHKA (1.81)
Our price Evens (2.0) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 1.7 or under, we'll go in for a lay.
4.40 Southwell. SILVER HOTSPUR (2.66)
Our price 2/1 (3.0) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.7 or under.
5.10 Southwell. LITTLE WING (2.24)
Our price 13/8 (2.625) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.32 or under.
All races priced up with non runners taken into account, up until 10:12am.
That's what we have to work around for this afternoon then. Let's hope all the meetings go ahead, but if not, we should still have enough to work around. Discipline to the maximum and take advantage of any prices that come our way. Good luck and speak soon...
Marc.
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