HOLLYWOODBETS DURBANVILLE SATURDAY 25 OCTOBER

Smallpunter wrote:

Not talking from my pocket but astronomical boy also drifted badly. He moved up on the inside and looked like he had every chance and then somehow ends up running last. I would like to beilive its coincidence since a few weeks ago a backed a winner that drifted from 3/1 to 10/1 but thats the only time I can ever remember a horse that drifts alot winning. It appears once the horse arrives on course the bookmakers somehow know a horse isnt ready

.....even the commentator got a spook when that moved up....he must have been told it had no chance....huh
 

durbs wrote:

100% smallpunter
People will tell you if no money comes for a horse it will drift out.
First of all there are plenty owners and trainers that don't punt so sometimes that theory goes out the window.
The horse usually opens up at it's price due to the form it has in the book.
No ways will the bookies drift a horse double,treble or even 4 times it's odds if they haven't heard something negative about the horse from their sources.
Most times they just know when a horse has been brought to the races in less than peak condition.They got eyes and ears everywhere.

I always place my bets the night before and for the most part the horses shorten but when they drift badly I dont even bother watching for them in running. Case in point future gamble was 14/1 last night a few mins before the off was 25/1 and as per the norm ran downfield. In my experience 80% of the time selections shorten do I enjoy it when it works in reverse 😁